Energy Insights

Europe's gas market forecast – bearish or bullish?

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September 13, 2024

Price swings on the European gas market are notoriously difficult to predict. With gas storage facilities 93% full two months ahead of schedule and the heating season still a few weeks off, the short-term forecast for some market participants is bearish, but what factors are at play and what wildcards can we anticipate for the coming months? Reporting by Julia Demirdag. Contributors: Joachim Endress, Managing Director, Ganexo GmbH; and Francisco Gaspar Machado, Senior Power Research Analyst, LSEG Power Research.

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Amanda Praire March 13, 2025 03:36 AM Delete

Yes! Essentially, while the full storage might suggest lower prices soon, keep an eye out for unexpected events or shifts in demand that could change everything! So, the answer isn't a simple yes or no – it's more of a "wait and see" situation with potential for surprises.


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Diane Keiton February 28, 2025 12:40 AM Delete

While the current sentiment might lean bearish due to high storage levels, don’t discount the potential for sudden changes driven by external factors.



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With storage levels sitting pretty at 93% full ahead of the heating season, many analysts are leaning towards a bearish outlook in the short term. This means they expect prices to potentially drop or stabilize due to ample supply.

However, several factors could shake things up. First off, weather conditions play a huge role—if we get an unexpectedly cold winter, demand could spike and catch everyone off guard. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or disruptions in supply chains could also create wild swings in prices.



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neerliquid October 02, 2024 06:04 AM Delete

@tunnel rush, I agree that the market may seem bearish right now with storage at 93%, but I think we need to keep a close eye on possible external disruptions. If there's any reduction in supply from major exporters like Russia or Norway, or if LNG shipments get delayed, the situation could flip very quickly.

Don Payne October 02, 2024 03:25 AM Delete

This is a fascinating analysis of the current state of the European gas market. With storage levels so high, a bearish outlook seems reasonable in the short term, but I'm curious to see what wildcards, such as unexpected weather changes or geopolitical factors, could shift the market. Looking forward to insights from experts like Joachim Endress and Francisco Gaspar Machado. Thanks for shedding basketball stars light on this complex topic!

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